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IEA cuts oil demand forecast again amid Hormuz crisis

Xenia. W by Xenia. W
12 August 2026
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Global oil supplies will fall by 4.3 million barrels per day (bpd), or around four percent, this year, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its monthly oil market report on Wednesday.

It comes as renewed hostilities in the Middle East since July are set to plunge the world deeper into an oil-market deficit.

“With an agreement enabling the reopening of Hormuz and unhindered transit through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait still elusive, we have again lowered supply estimates for the rest of the year,” the IEA said.

The 4.3 million bpd supply drop compares with the 3.7 million bpd forecast ⁠in the IEA’s July report, and will take total supply to the IEA’s lowest forecast yet for this year at 102.02 million bpd. (Reuters)

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Xenia. W

Xenia. W

Xenia is a Hong Kong–based writer and content creator focusing on financial markets, policy and the city’s evolving economic landscape. With over ten years of experience in higher education and tourism‑related projects, she specialises in transforming complex information into clear, reader‑friendly insights for both professional and general audiences. ​ Drawing on a background in bilingual Chinese–English translation and editing, Xenia writes across topics including Hong Kong and US stocks, market structure, macro trends and how policy shifts affect everyday investors.

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