Thursday’s summit brings all 27 EU leaders together for the first time since last week’s explosive meeting between presidents Trump and Zelensky, with Washington since suspending military aid and intelligence sharing to help Kyiv fight Russia.
This has sent Ukraine’s allies scrambling, with EU leaders openly questioning Washington’s reliability as a security partner going forward.
While the Brussels meeting will aim to cement European support for Kyiv, it is unlikely to yield any major announcements of aid beyond the 30 billion euros (US$32 billion) the bloc has already committed for this year.
The prospect of the United States pivoting from its European partners in Nato has fuelled a growing consensus on the summit’s other major topic: the need to strengthen Europe’s defences against Russia.
European Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen has laid out a plan aimed at mobilising 800 billion euros to “re-arm Europe” – largely by freeing states to spend much more – which leaders are expected to greenlight on Thursday.
“Europe faces a clear and present danger on a scale that none of us has seen in our adult lifetime,” she wrote to leaders, urging Europe to “act as decisively as the situation dictates.”
France’s President Emmanuel Macron doubled down in a sombre address to the nation on the summit’s eve, calling for a defence spending surge to confront a “new era” and saying he would discuss extending France’s nuclear deterrent to European partners.
“Who can believe that this Russia of today will stop at Ukraine?” Macron asked. “I want to believe that the United States will stay by our side, but we have to be prepared for that not to be the case.”
Germany’s chancellor-in-waiting, Friedrich Merz, who conferred with EU chiefs in Brussels ahead of the talks, has likewise declared himself ready for “the worst-case scenario” and embraced radical reforms to ramp up Germany’s defence spending.
Bolstering European defences has taken on acute urgency as Trump makes clear his desire to swiftly end the three-year war through direct negotiations with Moscow.
His embrace of Russian President Vladimir Putin, while expressing contempt toward Zelensky, has cemented fears that Kyiv and Europe’s interests will be overlooked in any deal to end the biggest conflict on the continent since World War II.
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has called for a “coalition of the willing” to come together to draw up a peace plan and present it to the United States.
Starmer and other European leaders made a show of embracing Zelensky and reaffirming support for Ukraine at weekend talks in London. EU chiefs will be briefing Starmer on the Brussels talks on Friday.
France and Britain have pitched a one-month truce “in the air, at sea and on energy infrastructure”, though not initially on the ground. Leaders are expected to raise that proposal in Brussels, but not formally decide on it.
EU leaders are also expected to start thrashing out what “security guarantees” the bloc might provide for a peace deal, including the possible deployment of European troops, which several states support.
While Zelensky can expect strong words of support in Brussels, it was unclear if a deal would be reached on a new package of key weaponry, with several states arguing that Europe currently has enough money committed to meet Kyiv’s needs. (AFP)
