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Oil up two percent after US-Iran war flare-up

Xenia. W by Xenia. W
31 August 2026
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Oil prices jumped more than two percent Monday, with the Brent international benchmark rising above US$90 a barrel after a fresh flare-up in the US-Iran war.

In equity trading, Wall Street and Europe’s main markets dipped as investors continued to react to hawkish comments from Federal Reserve chief Kevin Warsh.

After a run lower for most of last week, oil price spiked again Monday, a day after the United States said it had attacked Iranian rocket launchers on a small island in the Strait of Hormuz, its first strikes on the country in a month.

The attack prompted Tehran to retaliate by hitting US military targets in Jordan.

US President Donald Trump said on Monday that the United States would hit back against Iranian attacks on US targets in the Middle East, according to Fox News.

The exchange came shortly after the US-Iran war hit the six-month mark, and with hostilities subsiding until the weekend’s flare-up.

The news revived concerns about the conflict in the Gulf, with attempts at peace talks appearing to be going nowhere and the Hormuz strait largely closed.

“For oil traders, (the) move is another reminder of how quickly the geopolitical premium can return,” said Quintex Intel’s Stephen Innes.

“Physical flows through Hormuz have improved materially from their worst levels, which is precisely why crude had started giving back some of the fear premium, but the latest exchange shows how fragile that progress remains and how quickly the shipping story can be pushed back onto the trading desk,” he added.

With inflation remaining stubbornly high, the US Federal Reserve has come under pressure to act, with Warsh’s refusal to provide guidance stoking uncertainty in recent weeks.

But in a highly anticipated speech at the Jackson Hole symposium of central bankers and economists in Wyoming on Friday, Warsh left traders with few doubts that he was ready to increase borrowing costs.

He called the spike in inflation – currently at 3.7 percent and nearly double the Fed’s two-percent target – “concerning” and said he would be “hard-pressed” to describe current financial conditions as “restrictive”, largely taken as a hint that rate hikes were on the horizon.

However he stopped short of saying he would support a hike.

All three main indexes on Wall Street fell on Friday as investor expectations for an interest rate increase in September surged.

They fell further on Monday, with the Dow shedding 0.5 percent as trading got underway in New York. (AFP)

Tags: BusinessFinance
Xenia. W

Xenia. W

Xenia is a Hong Kong–based writer and content creator focusing on financial markets, policy and the city’s evolving economic landscape. With over ten years of experience in higher education and tourism‑related projects, she specialises in transforming complex information into clear, reader‑friendly insights for both professional and general audiences. ​ Drawing on a background in bilingual Chinese–English translation and editing, Xenia writes across topics including Hong Kong and US stocks, market structure, macro trends and how policy shifts affect everyday investors.

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