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Singapore raises 2026 GDP forecast

Xenia. W by Xenia. W
11 August 2026
in Business, News
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Singapore’s economy grew 5.9 percent in the second quarter of 2026 from a year earlier, government data showed on Tuesday, higher than an official advance estimate of 5.7 percent.

For the first half of the year, GDP growth ⁠was 6.1 percent, the Trade Ministry said.

The ministry upgraded its growth forecast for this year to 4.5 to 5.5 percent, from 2.0 to 4.0 percent, saying the impact of the Middle East war had been less severe than initially feared while the global AI investment boom had been stronger than expected.

“Against this backdrop, the 2026 outlook for sectors of the Singapore economy that are linked to the AI-driven technology cycle has improved, although that for sectors directly affected by ⁠supply disruptions arising from the Middle East conflict remains weak,” the ⁠ministry said.

On a quarter-on-quarter, ⁠seasonally adjusted basis, gross domestic product expanded by 1.4 percent in the April-June period, compared with an advance estimate of a 1.1 percent growth.

In a separate ⁠statement, Enterprise Singapore upgraded its forecast for growth this year in non-oil domestic exports to 14 to 16 percent, from 3 to 5 percent previously.

“The global economy has remained more resilient than expected, bolstered by the sustained AI-related demand and capex spending,” Enterprise Singapore said, but ⁠added that downside risks included the Iran war and the new round of US tariffs.

The Monetary Authority of Singapore has said it expects growth to stay firm for the rest of 2026, although it has flagged the sustainability of the AI investment boom as a major risk.

The central bank unexpectedly tightened monetary policy in late July, citing persistent inflationary risks as the Middle East conflict keeps energy cost pressures elevated.

Also last month, the government announced a ⁠S$900 million (HK$5.5 billion) support package to help households and businesses cope with high energy prices, on top of the almost S$1 billion announced in April. (Reuters)

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Xenia. W

Xenia. W

Xenia is a Hong Kong–based writer and content creator focusing on financial markets, policy and the city’s evolving economic landscape. With over ten years of experience in higher education and tourism‑related projects, she specialises in transforming complex information into clear, reader‑friendly insights for both professional and general audiences. ​ Drawing on a background in bilingual Chinese–English translation and editing, Xenia writes across topics including Hong Kong and US stocks, market structure, macro trends and how policy shifts affect everyday investors.

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