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Weak US jobs report deals blow to Trump

Xenia. W by Xenia. W
7 August 2026
in Business, News
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The United States unexpectedly lost thousands of jobs in July, government data showed on Friday, a blow to US President Donald Trump’s claims of leading an economic revival as his Republican Party gears up for crucial midterm elections.

The world’s largest economy lost 23,000 jobs in July, data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed, signalling potential labour market weakness after months of steady growth.

The unemployment rate ticked down to 4.1 percent, likely a result of falling labour supply as the US economy grapples with an ageing population and lower net migration.

Since taking office for his second term, Trump has unleashed a spate of policies aimed at reviving domestic manufacturing and curbing surging inflation.

Republicans face a stiff test in November’s midterm elections, with the state of the economy a key issue for Democrats who are seeking to wrest back control of both houses of Congress.

Friday’s data will also pose a question to the US Federal Reserve, which has been signalling it was preparing for a rate hike later this year.

In addition to the loss of jobs in July, the BLS revised down job growth in the previous two months by 103,000, showing the labour market to be less robust than previously reported.

Based on the new figures, job growth hit a peak in March before declining in the next three months and entering negative territory in July.

Analysts had expected further job growth, with economists polled by Dow Jones Newswires and the Wall Street Journal expecting 83,000 new jobs to be added in July.

The decline and revisions to the previous months will spark concern that the labour market may not be as strong as was previously reported.

The unemployment rate has remained relatively steady through choppiness in the labour market, due to the overall drop in labour supply.

Friday’s figures showed the labour force participation rate — a key metric — dropped slightly in July, after a sharp decline the month before.

Policymakers at the US Federal Reserve watch the labour market closely, as their dual mandate requires the Fed to deliver maximum employment while ensuring inflation remains at a long-term target of two percent.

The Fed has missed that target for five years, as inflation has battered US households since the pandemic.

Last month, the Fed held interest rates steady, but three regional Fed presidents dissented in favour of a rate hike.

“This morning’s report is a game changer in the sense that all of the recent focus has been on inflation and this report highlights the risks that are embedded in the labour market as well,” said Chris Zaccarelli of Northlight Asset Management.

“Before today, many were expecting that the Fed had no choice but to raise rates in order to fight stubbornly high inflation, because the job market was so strong, but this report shows that isn’t the case.”

Employment declined in the local government education and retail trade sectors, while it continued to grow in health care, the BLS statement said.

Retail trade also lost 19,000 jobs, with employment declining in warehouse retailers — firms like Costco, Sam’s Club and others that offer discounts for wholesale quantities of household goods — and general merchandise stores.

Employment in the financial activities sector continued its downward trend, losing 14,000 jobs. Employment in the sector is down 121,000 from its May 2025 peak.

The health care sector has buoyed the US labour market over the last year, with more Americans aging and requiring medical assistance.

In July, the sector added 22,000 jobs, but it was a slower pace than its average gain over the last year.

Average hourly earnings increased by 3.2 percent over last year, lagging inflation and therefore leaving workers with less income in real terms. (AFP)

Tags: BusinessFinance
Xenia. W

Xenia. W

Xenia is a Hong Kong–based writer and content creator focusing on financial markets, policy and the city’s evolving economic landscape. With over ten years of experience in higher education and tourism‑related projects, she specialises in transforming complex information into clear, reader‑friendly insights for both professional and general audiences. ​ Drawing on a background in bilingual Chinese–English translation and editing, Xenia writes across topics including Hong Kong and US stocks, market structure, macro trends and how policy shifts affect everyday investors.

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